Emissions Accounting: Embracing a New Era of Radical Simplicity

The fossil fuel industry is not the enemy – it is the emissions” declared Mia Mottley, Prime Minister of Barbados.

If that’s the case, then every organisation must manage their emissions as relentlessly as cashflows. Yet emissions accounting is prohibitively complicated and expensive – it is done by only a handful of companies. It also lacks the rigour and auditability of financial accounting. The resulting approximations may help companies or governments know where to start – but they’re not enough to decarbonise our complex market economy.

Read More »

The False Conflict Holding Back Emissions Accounting

The fossil fuel industry is not the enemy — it is the emissionssays Mia Mottley, Prime Minister of Barbados. This provocative truism is at the heart of an inglorious brawl between unlikely foes — emissions accountants themselves. I hope they make amends when they meet later this month in Aspen, Colorado.

Read More »

Leveraging Private Capital for a Sustainable Competitive Advantage

To align private capital with policy priorities requires us, firstly, to understand the different strategies investors use when they claim to be impact investors or to integrate Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) factors within decision-making. The terms “impact”, “environmental”, “social”, and “governance”, all imply goals beyond financial objectives alone. In other words, positive contributions towards people and planet — this can be true, but not always.

Read More »

Busting the Myths of Carbon Accounting: A New Era of Radical Simplicity

Carbon accounting is evolving rapidly – it’s becoming easier, faster, cheaper, and more accurate. In fact, it’s becoming radically simple. If you’ve ever tried using traditional methods – or outsourced the task – you’d be forgiven for thinking that “carbon accounting” and “radically simple” don’t fit together. But the reality is, a new playbook is emerging – a fundamental paradigm shift.

Read More »

We need an internet of impact – here is my proposal for a data science construct that can enable it

The Aggregate Confusion Project at MIT has done a great job of analysing why there is a tremendous divergence between different sources of impact data (sustainability data). They conclude that the biggest contributing factor is that different people fundamentally measure impact in different ways. Furthermore, people organise the various attributes according to different scopes, and assign different weights to each attribute. These three categories of measurement, scope, and weights provide a good starting point for fixing the problem.Read More »

Mega-trending towards zero – what next?

Three long-term economic trends all point towards zero: 1- official interest rates (5,000 years); 2- dividends from stock markets as a proportion of total returns (70 years); and 3- economic growth rates (2,000 years). What are the potential consequences for our economic model if these mega-trends are correct and if they persist – what next?

I wrote this text in 2018 as a thought experiment. It was never published at the time because I was not sure how such a heretical narrative might be beneficial… but now, as the COVID-19 pandemic triggers a global financial calamity, I hope people find it useful as they navigate the crisis and contemplate the systemic changes that may be necessary.Read More »

What is a market-rate of return on our data?


To find the answer, we need to go back to the origin of the word “data”. ‘Etymology can give a startling new perspective on many of the phrases we frequently toss around in business’, says Gillian Tett in her FT column Language matters: the real meaning of Big Data. The word “data” comes from the Latin verb “to give”, and could therefore be translated to mean “a gift”. If the original meaning of words is important, then we should be careful how we use them or risk distorting the effects they have, without even realising it.Read More »

Triple Entry Bookkeeping & Sumptuous Accounting Principles

Sumptuous Accounting™ is an intellectual provocation, taking a light-hearted approach to a very serious issue – fixing capitalism.

The working paper Sumptuous Accounting™ uses the sci-fi genre and a story-telling narrative to explore how capitalism could be evolved. Sci-fi allows us the creativity to explore an alternative reality. It frees us from preconceptions and the inertia of habit. Good sci-fi is rooted in practical feasibility – it is not fantasy.

This thought experiment allows us to ask: ‘‘how can capitalism be improved by upgrading our socio-economic construct?

Read the full paper at www.sumptuousaccounting.org

Read More »

Truth or dare – transparency by vanguard social investors reveals risks and returns in a maturing market

A landmark study released today via the Government’s open data portal reveals for the first time historic performance of UK social investment activity.

eX Dataset1_by year

The total financial performance (comparing all capital draw downs with all capital, interest and fee payments) over the 12 year period was negative 9.25% (-0.77% annualised)*. Counterintuitively, this is remarkably good given that pricing of capital was driven by affordability and not risk adjusted. Moreover, most of these social investments were made after the investees had been refused finance from High Street institutions. They would therefore be classified as high risk deals.Read More »